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Trump sows uncertainty – and Xi Jinping sees an opportunity | Global News Avenue

Trump sows uncertainty – and Xi Jinping sees an opportunity

Laura Bicker

Chinese correspondent

Donald Trump, US President of Reuters, met with Chinese President Xi Jinping. They are all wearing a suit and are very close to each other. Behind them, the banner and a white logo of their country, saying that in 2019Reuters

Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met in 2019

If China is angry with the United States because of an additional 10 % tariff on all Chinese products, it has done a good job in hiding it.

Both Canada and Mexico vowed to retaliate, and the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said his country would “will not shrink” because he announced that it would announce 25 % of US goods over $ 100 billion (£ 8.1 billion). Taxation.

Subsequently, US President Donald Trump agreed to temporarily suspend goods imported from the two countries after reaching a separate agreement with them. However, Mrs. Tari in China plans to take effect on Tuesday.

So far, Beijing has been on fire.

In 2018, when Trump launched the first time in many tariffs imported by China, Beijing announced that it was “not afraid of the trade war.” This time, it urged the United States to talk and “meet China”.

This is not to say that the announcement will not be tingling. This will be, especially because 10 % of the tax income increases a series of tariffs imposed on the first semester of tens of thousands of dollars in the first semester.

The Chinese government’s response part is because when many people are worried that the economy is slow, it does not want to worry about its population.

But this economy was not as dependent on the United States as the United States at the time. Beijing has strengthened its trade agreement in Africa, South America and Southeast Asia. Now, it is the largest trading partner of more than 120 countries.

Kanegy China Zheng Jia Ian said that additional 10 % may not be able to provide Trump’s desired leverage.

“China will think it may endure 10 % -Therefore, I think Beijing is performing coolly. Because if this is not a big deal, unless Beijing has real benefits, there is no reason to fight with the Trump administration.” “

Xi Jinping’s “win -win” with the retreat of the United States

President Xi Jinping may also have another reason: he may see the opportunity here.

Trump is a sirloin in his backyard, threatening to reach the European Union (EU) with tariff -this is the first month he served. His actions may make other American allies want to know what to store them.

In contrast, China will hope to seem calm, stable and even more attractive global trading partners.

“Trump’s first policy of Trump’s first policy of the Stimson Center China Planning,” Trump’s first policy will bring challenges and threats to almost all countries in the world. “

“From the perspective of strategic competition in the United States-China, the deterioration of US leadership and reputation will benefit China. In the bilateral level, China is unlikely to turn, but Beijing will definitely try to make lemonade …”

Xiqing Wang/ BBC's port terminals in Cambodia display pink and yellow containersXiqing wang/ bbc

Cambodia has become the main importer of Chinese raw materials-also the destination of Chinese companies

As the leader of the world’s second largest economy Replace the world order.

Since COVID’s popularity, he has traveled widely and has supported agreements such as the World Bank and other major international institutions and Paris Climate Agreement.

Chinese state media depicts it into the world’s embrace of the country and deepen diplomatic connection.

Before that, when Who does Trump stop our funds to? In 2020, China promised additional funds. It is expected that after Washington withdrawn from the WHO, Beijing may involve the expectations of American shoes again.

It is also suitable for frozen assistance. The assistance has caused this confusion in countries and organizations that have long dependent on US funds for a long time-despite the economic downturn, China may want to fill this gap.

On the first day he took office Trump frozen all foreign aid provided by the United StatesSo far, this is the world’s largest assistant donor. The U.S. International Development Agency (USAID) provides hundreds of foreign aid programs. Since then, some people have begun, but the aid contractors have described the continuous chaos as the future of the agency.

John Delurury, a professor at the University of Yonsei, a modern China, said Trump’s “U.S. First” doctrine can further weaken Washington’s position as a global leader.

He told BBC: “The combination of tariffs on major trading partners and frozen foreign aid conveys a message to the Global Southern and Economic Organizations, that is, the United States is not interested in international partnerships,” he told Broadcasting Corporation.

“With the retreat of the United States from the world, President Xi Jinping has a new meaning on the unanimous information of the” win -win “globalization.”

When bidding for global governance, Beijing has been looking for an opportunity to subvert the world order of the United States led in the past 50 years-the uncertainty of Trump 2.0 is likely to be like this.

New alliance

Mr. Chong said: “Whether it really gives Beijing key advantages-I’m not sure.”

“Many American allies and partners, especially in the Pacific, have reasons to cooperate with Beijing, but they are also vigilant. This is why we see Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Australia closer, partly because they are against China Worry. “

According to the Australian Institute of International Affairs, Australia, Japan and South Korea may have a “momentum” of trilateral relations, which is inspired by the “influence of the second Trump administration”.

A naval blue Chinese ship of the National Special Forces in the West Philippines shot from a larger white and red Philippine vessels. They sat in the sea and could not see the land. You can see the other two ships in the distanceWest Philippines National Working Team

The tension of the South China Sea means that some neighboring countries in China are already alert

Both these three people care about the self -confidence of China and the Philippines in the South China Sea. They are also worried that the war that may occur on the islands of Taiwan’s autonomy-Beijing regards it as a province, and will eventually become part of the country, and it will not rule out the province where the use of force to achieve this goal.

Taiwan has been one of the most controversial issues in US -China relations for a long time. Beijing has condemned Washington’s support for Taipei.

However, when Trump repeatedly threatened to annex Canada or buy Greenland, Washington may be difficult to hit Chinese aggression signs.

Most countries in the region use military alliances with Washington to balance their economic relations with China.

But now, they can build a new Asian alliance in Beijing and the United States, and the world’s largest power is not.

Calm down before storm

Trump announced tariffs on the weekend because Chinese families are celebrating the New Year and invites the God of Wealth to enter their homes.

The bright red lanterns are currently swinging on the empty Beijing street, because most workers have left their hometown during the largest holiday this year.

China’s response is softer than Canada or Mexico. The Ministry of Commerce announced a plan to adopt legal actions and use the World Trade Organization to announce its dissatisfaction.

But this was almost threatening to Washington. Since Donald Trump (at the time) in 2019, the WTO dispute resolution system has been effectively closed since the appointment of the judge to deal with appeals.

As the holidays approached, when the party’s official returned to Beijing and went to work, they decided to make a decision.

In recent weeks, officials have been shown by officials by officials that the Trump administration may want to maintain this relationship stable, especially in the two leaders last month called the “great phone call” on the two leaders last month. after.

At present, China may always be calm, maybe to reach an agreement with Washington to avoid further tariffs and maintain the relationship between the two largest economies in the world, so as not to get out of control.

However, some people think that this cannot last because Republicans and Democrats regard China as the country’s largest foreign policy and economic threat.

Wu Xinbo, a professor and director of the American Research Center of the University of Fudan, said: “Trump’s unpredictability, his impulse and Lu CK unavoidable will cause a major impact of bilateral relations.”

“In addition, his team contains a lot of eagles, even China’s extreme eagle. It is inevitable that bilateral relations will face serious damage in the next four years.”

China certainly cares about its relationship with the United States and the trade war that may cause the economic slowdown.

However, this will also be looking for the use of the current political clock to swing in the international community in its way and influence.

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