Is Your 401(k) Doing Better than a Hedge Fund?
Think your 401(k) can’t compete with the established hedge funds available to wealthy investors? Think again. While a recent study showed that hedge fund managers pocket nearly half of their clients’ profits, 401(k) accounts have quietly outperformed these elite investments. That’s why your workplace retirement plan can be a real wealth creator you didn’t expect.
Main points
- 401(k) plans have consistently outperformed an index of more than 1,300 hedge funds.
- Hedge funds have high costs and use complex strategies.
- 401(k)s are low-cost, low-risk, and offer a simple mix of stock and bond funds.
Average 401(k) returns in 2024
The latest data from Vanguard shows 401(k) plans are performing impressively, with participants earning an average annual return of about 9.7% over the five years ending in December 2023.
This performance is particularly notable because it spanned both bull and bear market conditions, including the market downturn of 2022, when many retirement accounts experienced significant declines.
Recent returns have been underpinned by a broad market rally while proving the effectiveness of a long-term, disciplined approach.
Warren Buffett Famous for winning a $1 million bet The S&P 500 would outperform a basket of hedge funds over the course of a decade, and the hedge fund manager admitted defeat before the bet was over in 2017.
Average hedge fund returns in 2024
hedge fund Performance, on the other hand, is less impressive. Over the same five-year period, the Barclays Hedge Fund Index, which measures the average return of all hedge funds tracked by Barclays, returned just 6.6%.
In 2024, the hedge fund index rose 9.6%, Hedge Fund Research The average hedge fund return was even lower, at 8.3%. That’s significantly lower than the S&P 500’s 24.9% return that same year. That doesn’t include the hefty fees hedge funds charge investors, which can amount to almost half of their annual returns.
This underperformance is not new – hedge funds have struggled to maintain their historical returns since at least the 2008 global financial crisis.
Survivor bias in hedge funds
When comparing performance, hedge fund returns are often inflated because survival bias— Funds that perform poorly often close and stop reporting performance, leaving only successful funds in the index data.
Hedge Fund Risks and Fees
The costs of hedge funds are staggering. beyond tradition “2-20” fee structure (2% management fee plus 20% profit), the effective rate currently reaches about 50% of total revenue. Recent analysis shows that managers have collected $1.8 trillion in fees since 1969, with total annual costs averaging 3.4% of assets under management. These high fees mean hedge funds would have to perform far better than typical 401(k) accounts to start outperforming them.
These funds also employ complex strategies that utilize leverage and derivativeswhich amplifies gains and losses while incurring additional transaction fees. Limited transparency and restricted withdrawal options create additional risks for investors.
Risks and Fees of Typical 401(k) Investments
401(k) plans have a more immediate risk profile and lower costs. The average 401(k) offers 27 to 28 investment options, often including a combination of stock and bond mutual funds. These funds are highly diversified, helping to protect against significant losses in any single market or investment type.
While fees vary, on average they are much lower than hedge funds. Low-cost index funds and target-date funds are by far the most popular, and they automatically adjust portfolio risk as retirement approaches. cost The average is about 0.85% or less.
bottom line
The data is clear: Well-managed 401(k)s generally provide better returns, lower fees and greater transparency than most hedge funds. While hedge funds overall pocket nearly half of the gains, low-cost index funds and target-date funds in 401(k)s have consistently performed strongly. For most investors, the path to successful retirement savings is not through complex investment strategies but through stable contributions, employer matching and keeping costs low.