What’s the Outlook for Interest Rates in 2025?
Main points
- The Federal Reserve expects to lower its influential federal funds rate more slowly in the new year than previously expected.
- This can affect all borrowing costs, including car loans, mortgages and other types of credit.
- Some of the policies proposed by President-elect Donald Trump could affect the direction of interest rates, depending on how they are implemented.
The Federal Reserve has put the brakes on possible interest rate cuts in 2025, which could affect your borrowing costs in the new year.
Mortgage and car loan interest rates are generally lower than those on credit cards and personal loans. However, most loans are subject to some degree federal funds rate,Right now Set by the Federal Reserve to help control inflation.
In mid-December, Fed officials scaled back their forecasts Call for a lower federal funds rate in the new year. That means interest rates on everything from car notes to mortgages are likely to remain higher for longer. Here’s where consumer interest rates will go in 2025.
Mortgage rates will remain high
While the Fed may make some interest rate adjustments in 2025, some economists don’t expect the rate cuts to have much of an impact on home loan borrowing costs.
Mortgage rates are not exactly tied to the federal funds rate and are more sensitive to: 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield.
Wells Fargo forecasters predict that mortgage rates may only fall to around 6.3% in 2025. Economists at government-backed mortgage lender Fannie Mae also expect mortgage rates to remain above 6%.
This is lower than The current interest rate is about 7% But it’s well above the average outstanding mortgage rate of 4%. This means that if you buy a new home in 2025, you might get a lower interest rate in exchange for a higher property. For those looking to refinance, the opportunities may be slim.
Car loan rates may drop, then rebound
Car lending could see some improvement by 2025, but economists expect that to slow over time.
The average auto loan interest rate for new cars in early December was about 9%, while rates for used cars were closer to 14%, according to Cox Automotive.
“As we head into 2025, average auto loan rates are a full point below their peak in early 2024, and approval rates are rising,” wrote Cox Automotive chief economist Jonathan Smoke. is rising.” “This should be good news for businesses in the coming months, but the path is not yet set. After some declines in the spring, rates may start to rise again.”
Credit cards may get cheaper
The federal funds rate heavily affects credit card rates, which are typically tied to a benchmark and therefore move in tandem.
according to latest research According to Investopedia, the average credit card interest rate in December was 24.37%. That number will fall as the Fed’s three rate cuts in 2024 continue to have an impact on the economy, with more likely to come.
Credit card has floating interest ratemeaning they can fluctuate at any given time. Personal finance professionals say it’s important to check with your bank to make sure you know how and when borrowing costs are changing.
Tariff proposals create uncertainty
While officials have compiled forecasts of where interest rates might go under current economic conditions, some changes could alter credit conditions.
Economists say they are keeping a close eye on any president-elect Donald Trump’s tariffsas they may cause inflation. The Fed may have to Slow down the pace of interest rate cuts If price pressure remains high.