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Half of homes need heat pump by 2040 | Global News Avenue

Half of homes need heat pump by 2040

Mark Hingting and Justin Lorat

BBC Climate and Science

Getty image of two men installing a heat pump outside the house. Both squat on either side of the heat pump. The man on the left was wearing a green T-shirt and shorts. The man on the right was wearing a black hoodie, pants and a baseball cap.Getty Images

An independent climate adviser said one in five cars should be electric and half of the houses should have heat pumps within 15 years.

Under the law, the UK must reach “net zero” – no longer increasing the total amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere by 2050.

Since 1990, UK greenhouse gas emissions have been cut in half, thanks in large part to electricity from fossil fuels and more from renewable energy sources. But the Climate Change Commission (CCC) said that to reach the 2050 target, we also need to change the way we drive and heat our homes.

Energy Minister Ed Miliband said the government will consider recommendations and respond in due time.

“We attribute to current generations to seize opportunities for energy security and lower bills, and we should give credit to future generations to deal with the existing climate crisis,” he said.

Under UK law, the CCC provides independent advice on how the UK can get there for five years (called the “carbon budget”) and how it can get there.

By 2050, every carbon budget is a stepping stone to net zero. The latest recommendation is that by 2040, the UK should account for 13% of its 1990 levels to keep the UK on track.

The CCC proposal is not a policy, but a government has accepted policies historically. If this is done, the goal will be legally binding, but the government will still decide how to achieve it.

The chart shows a zero net pathway, showing historical emissions from the black line from 1990 to 2023 and treating future emissions as dotted red line by 2050. This line follows a downward trend. The 5-year carbon budget block is also shown. Each block has a level below the last one.

Achieving these long-term goals will mean significant changes in the coming years. One-third of emissions between now and 2040 need to come from households who make low-carbon choices, the CCC said.

This is primarily through the conversion from gasoline and diesel vehicles to electric vehicles, from fossil fuel boilers to heat pumps, leveraging the growing supply of clean electricity. Smaller contributions will come from other options such as eating less meat and dairy.

These changes are ambitious as shown in the figure below. The CCC believes they are deliverable and people don’t have to scrape off their existing boilers or cars as early as possible.

Other emerging technologies, such as cell phones and internet connections, have previously achieved similar growth rates.

The two line graphs show the increase in electric vehicles (left) and heat pumps (right) needed to meet climate goals and show a dotted red line. The share of battery-electric vehicles on the road needs to increase from 2.8% in 2023 to 80% in 2040. The share of homes with heat pumps must rise from 1% in 2023 to half in 2040.

Emission reductions are also needed in other regions, such as farming and flying, which are the two most difficult sectors to decarbonize.

CCC no longer directly advises not to avoid the previous airport expansion. However, it warns that the cost of decarbonized airlines will need to be raised by airlines, which may increase fares.

It says we also need to eat less meat and dairy. On the road to the CCC, sheep and cattle populations fell by 27% by 2040, with forest-covered areas rising from 13% to 16%.

Net cost zero

In recent years, the cost of responding to climate change has been highly politicized.

The CCC estimates that most of the costs will be borne by the private sector and calculate savings from the early 2040s to the transfer of more efficient technologies from the transfer to more efficient technologies.

“For the first time in this carbon budget, we are starting to see the economy save savings from this investment, we are very clear in this carbon budget and if we remain dependent on fossil fuels, they will save more than what we are going to do if we remain dependent on fossil fuels Things,” CCC CEO Emma Pinchbeck told BBC News.

The CCC believes this will improve energy security and filter to lower bills over the long term to make the government cheaper electricity.

It recommends removing policy costs from electricity bills – funds from social and environmental programs. This will reduce them by about 19% based on the expected 2025 price, making people more cost-effective and making people more cost-effective, CCC said.

These fees may depend on gasoline bills or general taxes.

“Whatever your view on climate change, what we do today is a huge industrial revolution,” Ms. Pinchbeck said.

“It will save money on economics in 2040, saving people money on driving costs, but all of this is based on cheap electricity prices.”

Other reports by Becky Dale

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