Strategy and risk sees John Swinney seal Budget success
BBC Scottish News Political Editor
Sometimes, without most votes obtain a budget in HolyRood through the parliament, then the SNP government does not seem to be mission.
In some cases, the government of John Swinney may be reduced and triggered elections.
Instead, with the support of at least four political parties, SNP will be approved by SNP’s first budget.
The only MSP of the Green Party, the Liberal Democratic Party and Alba will join SNP to vote. The Labor Party will not hinder its obstacles, and only the Conservative Party will vote to oppose it.
This is the appreciation of Treasury Minister Shona Robison and her team.
Her predecessor, including John Swinney, and his deputy, Kate Forbes, have been working hard since 2014.
So, since 2007, SNP has been impossible for the government and its political opponents since 2007 when the government and their political opponents have urgently hoped to make them replace the government?
I think that without the consequences of budget, the political risks of the election quickly abandon the election and some wise political strategies of SNP have played a role.
Financial confusion
There must be a budget. If there is no new product of 2025/26, it will lead to a certain degree of financial confusion.
The default position will be that each calendar will only release one-tenth of the budget last year-instead of increasing the increase in the Ministry of Finance.
This means that the increase in salaries promised by public service personnel such as nurses, teachers, and police are not easy to be paid.
No politicians are willing to be blamed for this, and in the parliament of ethnic minorities, they may not accept the ruling party of rap.
If the election is not caused by the budget, then if the opposition is preparing to win a large size and may seize power, this seems to be attractive to the opponents.
When to work Scan SNP through most central belts The British election Scottish changed its political narrative.
The Labor Party can do similar things in Hollow in 2026, and returns to power twenty years after the wilderness, which seems to be credible.
Everything is possible, but if you are the leader of Scotland workers Anas Sarwar, you don’t want to take risks now, because his political party has shrunk in the recent perspective and polls.
The performance of the Labor government of Kyl Starmer in Westminster seems to be delaying the Scottish Labor Party, and the significant rise of British reform can be snatched throughout the political scope.
In short, for the current Labor Party (and conservatives), it looks too adventurous. It is unclear that any party is eager for early tests on public opinion in the early days.
There is another factor. You must be smart to last for more than 18 years. SNP is good at here.
In the past few years, the party’s first minister of three people, about independence, gender and environmental policies, as well as Police investigation SNP financeEssence
In a series of public services that occurred on the party watches, the performance was not good.
None of these can be sprayed, but under the leadership of Swinney, SNP seems to have re -discovered the focus of daily problems.
He reshaped himself as a consensus politician, and showed his promise to this method by providing a budget to the Green Party and the Green Party of the Green Party to exchange for their support, which was necessary.
The huge breakthrough of the budget is when working Say they will abstain Use key voting to make it pass.
Movement pressure
The SNP strategy forced them to enter the position, because the minister included the Scottish labor policy in its budget-some restored winter fuel payment of pension recipients and Ending the hat of dual benefitsEssence
If the Labor Party opposes the budget vote, including these policies, SNP will use it relentlessly.
Labor tries to neutralize these issues. If SNP speeds up the dual hat in Scotland to end the British minister’s policy to maintain its position elsewhere, they even propose to support budgets.
The moment when it seemed to move a little pressure to SNP.
Officials from Scottish and British governments are still talking about how to achieve this goal.
Rapid progress seems unlikely. Among the two governments, the source of political sources shows that anyone is unremitting.
As a result, SNP obtained the budget. Without winning any new concessions, the Labor Party will not hinder.
The Green Party and the Liberal Democratic Party can advocate the expenditures they have obtained. Conservatives can separate, condemning others as “comfortable left consensus” they seek to break.
This is the politics of the 2025 budget, and it is also the brand of election activities held next year.