This Is the Single Best Investing Move You Can Make in 2025
The truth about the best market moves of 2025 might surprise you. While the value of S&P 500 companies is at an all-time high, inflation remains above the Fed’s target, bond yields are volatile, and media attention is focused on the potential impact of the U.S. president’s return to policy, you join the ranks of many It is also excusable. Wall Street is nervous about the market in 2025. But seasoned investors say the biggest thing to watch this year is something else entirely — the power of patience.
Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, ” Any Good Return: Structural Changes in Markets and Super Cyclessummed up succinctly in Investopedia the lesson that past financial market cycles have taught most investors: “Stay the course” and rely on “compound returns Over time, “economic news may become more important than short-term economic news.”
Main points
- The S&P 500’s price-to-earnings ratio of 30.42 is well above the historical median of 17.93, leading some to worry that the market is in a bubble.
- The smartest investing move in 2025 may be the simplest: stay invested for the long term.
- Market concerns about politics, inflation and high valuations rarely predict long-term returns.
Market in 2025
The bearish outlook for stocks is this: Yes, fourth-quarter 2024 earnings are strong, inflation appears to be cooling, and breakthroughs in artificial intelligence are still driving growth in the tech sector.
However, S&P 500 Index The current price-to-earnings ratio is above 30, well above the historical median of 17.93, a level seen before the market’s sharp decline since 1929. These valuations assume annual earnings growth of 20% over the next five years, which seems overly exaggerated even if the potential of artificial intelligence is promising. Combined with stubborn inflation and political uncertainty, many see market turmoil ahead.
Why buy and hold may be the best strategy right now
So should you try to time the market for specific stock picks? Oppenheimer said that while certain industries occasionally deliver superior short-term returns, it’s “not something you can always rely on.”
The logic is simple: Historically, stock markets rise over longer periods of time, reflecting long-term economic growth. Looking back at past cycles, Oppenheimer emphasized two key principles: taking the long term and diversifying through a buy-and-hold strategy. “Having more diverse contacts helps improve risk adjusted return Over time,” he said.
While focusing on hot sectors may work temporarily, “you can’t predict the future,” and history shows that diversifying across regions, asset classes, and styles can reduce volatility and improve long-term performance.
This strategy also provides something valuable: peace of mind. Instead of stressing about market timing, investors can focus on what matters – letting their money grow over time through the power of compound interest.
A simple way to build solid long-term returns
So, how should you invest? Low cost for most people index fund Provide the easiest path to diversification. These give you exposure to the returns of hundreds of stocks, automatically diversifying your risk while capturing the market’s historical annual return of 10.6% since 1957.
There is evidence that most stock pickers (including professional fund managers) consistently underperform the broader market index over time. The chart below shows the percentage of actively managed funds that fail to keep up with major market index investments each year.
The best approach might be a combination of the two: Use index funds to build a foundation for broad market exposure, and then selectively add individual stocks if you have the time and knowledge to research specific companies. This provides diversification while allowing you to invest in businesses you understand and trust.
bottom line
Investing can be stressful. Stocks and other assets move up and down. Ideally, you should sell stocks before the market falls and buy before the market rises. But for many, consistently getting the timing right is often just luck.
Nine times out of ten, the best strategy is to choose a diversified group of long-term investments and then stick with them, ignoring short-term price fluctuations. This strategy will save you a lot of stress and should pay off in the long run.