Before Los Angeles disaster, wildfires pushed others out of California
Christina Welch still remembers the appearance of the sky. That day, the wild fire arrived within 2 miles (3.2 kilometers) of her Santa Rosa, California.
This was a fire in 2017, when it was the most destructive fire in California’s history. Ms. Welch’s neighbor woke up in the morning and told her to grab her itself and get away. When Ms. Welch opened the door, the ashes fell from the sky, and the smoke was full of air.
Then, in 2019, Kincade Wildfire forced her parents to evacuate for five days.
This is the last promotion of Ms. Welch. After a friend’s suggestion, she cleaned up her property and drove through the country to her new hometown: Delus, Minnesota.
The 42 -year -old young man said, “This is just all of these crystals.” “Only many times, I will worry about what I want to get angry if I want to lose the house every fall.”
Ms. Welch is one of the few people who left California due to the frequency of extreme weather in recent years. Even the most destructive wildfire in Los Angeles history this month killed 28 people.
Just this week, a new, rapidly developing wild fire broke out in Los Angeles County, northwest of the city, forcing thousands of people to evacuate a region that has been destroyed. Trump plans to visit Southern California on Friday to see the damage of the fire.
Climate experts said that so far, due to climate-related events, they have not seen a large-scale migration from the country-and it is difficult to estimate the number of people who leave for this reason. However, according to the US population census, the state’s population growth rate has been declining since 2000.
However, scientists and population experts say that as weather changes have caused weather incidents to become more and more extreme and unpredictable, the number of people who leave the state may increase, which makes some cities that are not prepared under the task of welcome new residents.
“There may be a wave of newcomers saying,” Do you know what? California does not exercise for me, because this is the third time I have been in the past five years due to extreme ash and smoke, “Professor Derek Fan, a professor of data science at the University of Michigan, Derek Van Berkel said.
“We must start preparing for these possibilities, because they will become more frequent and more extreme.”
Leaving Gali Faifa “Climate Fighting Harbor”
Many climate -related factors may promote the Californians to leave home in the next decade. Scientists say that climate change has led to more frequent wildfires. According to Karll, from 2020 to 2023, wildfire destroyed more than 15,000 buildings in California. In the Los Angeles wildfire that broke out earlier this year, at least 12,000 structures have been lost.
The state also faces other influences of climate change, including floods. According to the State Prosecutor’s Office, the rise in sea level may cause one million California residents to be prone to flooding in 2100.
According to the California Protection Agency, the state also involves at least two earthquakes a year a year.
As extreme weather becomes more and more frequent, the state’s home insurance rates in the state continue to rise. According to the analysis of San Francisco’s Chronicle, since 2019, more than 100,000 California residents have lost house insurance.
Data show that so far, climate migration is a local phenomenon. Some of them have migrated in their hometown, and even seeking higher grounds in their own cities to avoid floods. Make climate risk modeling.
However, he said that in recent years, a few people have begun to flood to cities outside California, and these cities have promoted themselves as potential “climate -free ports.”
Jesse Keenan, a climate adaptation researcher, published the word after the study of a low risk of minority cities’ people moved to extreme climate events, the media appeared.
One of them is Duluth, Minnesota. This is a former industrial city with a location of about 90,000 people. Since 2020, it has become slower and slower since 2020.
One of the attractiveness of the town is that it is close to the large lake, which is a series of lakes, including the world’s largest freshwater body. About 10 % and 30 % of the United States rely on lakes to drink water.
Mr. Van Berkel said: “This is a huge wealth when resources become scarce.”
Dahu’s water supply attracted Jamie Beck Alexander and her family to Duluth. Ms. Alexander, her husband and two young children were shocked for three consecutive destructive wildfire seasons, and drove to Minnesota throughout the country in 2020.
Ms. Alexander discovered a small, progressive city between the city and the old city of San Francisco.
She said: “There is a real connection between people and ingrained things, and I think this is important for climate elasticity.”
Ms. Welch ignored her friend, and she thought she moved crazy to a city that was famous for her recorded snow and cold conditions, with an average of 106 days of frozen temperature. She said that the crunchy cities on the mountain became very beautiful.
When Ms. Welch talked about Delus, many people here like where they live and want to protect it. “
Prepare for climate migration
Van Berkel said that although some cities have accepted the title of climate evacuation, for smaller local governments, finding resources for new residents and climate toughness are still a challenge.
Mr. Van Berkel cooperates with other cities in Duluth and other cities in the Greater Lake to carry out climate change plans, including new residents who are welcome to move due to climate change.
Delus refuses to respond to the Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) about how to prepare for climate immigrants.
Porter said that at present, Dahu and other “climate paradise” cities have not yet seen high immigrants. However, if this happens, many people will not be ready.
Porter said: “This will require huge investment in the local community … These communities can bear the kind of population shown in some climate immigration literature.”
Ms. Alexander said, for example, in Dulus, housing availability may be a problem. She said that although the city has room for creating new housing, there is currently no sufficient new development projects to supply the growing population development. As a result, housing prices have risen in a few years since she moved there.
Mr. Van Berkel said that considering any new housing and other development of climate change, it also needs to be made.
He said: “When we don’t want to raise its ugly head in climate change, our infrastructure may be very expensive.”
Is “Climate” a myth?
In 2024, the climate paradise of Kelsey Lahr in Ashville, North Carolina, destroyed more than 2,000 houses and enterprises.
She moved there in 2020, and was attracted by the warm climate of the city and the music industry in a series of devastating wildfire seasons and mudslides near the town of Santa Barbara, California.
Before moving, Ms. Lal conducted a wide range of studies on the most climate of living place. Due to the gentle temperature and inland position, ASHEVILLE ranked highest, making it exempt from floods.
But last year, Hurricane Helen passed through western North Carolina, killed more than 100 people in the state, and destroyed Ms. Lal’s new hometown Ashville. Many people have no electricity for nearly 20 days and have no drinking water for more than a month.
Ms. Ral said: “Obviously, southern Abbarachia is not established ‘climate paradise’.”
Ms. Alexander said in Duluth that her family also quickly learned that they could not get rid of climate change.
In their first summer, the town was hit by attacks with poor smoke and air quality. This time, it started from the Canadian wildfire.
She said, “Just like, this very deep joke is a joke in the universe.” “Unless we solve the fundamental reason for (climate change), we always feel that we need to pick up and move.”
Since then, she moved to Wisconsin for personal reasons, but she said that she did not regret the first trekkeeper to Minnesota. Ms. Ral also regretted moving to Ashville.
She said that although Ms. Lal often missed the ancient forests of the U.S. Metropolitan National Park in California, she would spend a park guard in the summer in the summer, but it may bring more climate disaster in the future to sacrifice.
She said: “I think climate heaven is a myth more and more.” “Everyone must evaluate the risks they live and set off from there.”