What You Need To Know About the Rising Cost of Your Daily Coffee
you may have noticed Daily coffee cost It has been increasing steadily. This is because coffee bean prices will reach an all-time high in 2024.
Several factors contributed to the price increase, including supply chain disruptions top producing country Anticipated impacts of the EU deforestation directive. Below, we’ll take you through these and other reasons why you might feel excited before taking your first sip of coffee in the morning.
Main points
- Global coffee prices have reached their highest level in five years.
- Bad weather in major coffee-producing countries is the biggest factor.
- Coffee prices are expected to remain volatile due to ongoing environmental and economic conditions.
Current coffee prices and influencing factors
Arabica coffee futures soared to record highs in December 2024 – $3.48 per pound in intraday trading – and are up more than 80% this year alone.
Several factors have contributed to this growth:
- climate change: Severe drought and unpredictable weather patterns in major coffee-producing countries such as Brazil and Vietnam have reduced harvests.
- supply chain disruption: Logistics challenges, including shipping delays and increased transportation costs, further strain the coffee supply chain.
- regulatory changes: The EU’s Deforestation Regulation will come into effect in December 2025, requiring companies to prove that their products are not related to deforestation, increasing compliance costs for producers.
- Derivatives market shifts: Coffee producers often maintain short-term Futures position To hedge against the risk of falling prices. However, with prices rising sharply, Margin call This causes traders to close their positions, pushing up prices.
- Rising demand: Global demand for coffee continues to grow, especially in emerging markets and among younger generations.
Coffee price outlook
The future of coffee prices remains uncertain, with several factors influencing potential trends:
- climate: climate change Posing a significant threat to coffee production, more frequent and severe weather could disrupt supplies.
- Economic factors: Fluctuations in currency exchange rates, changes in trade policy, and changes in production costs can all affect coffee prices.
- Consumer preferences: Shifting to specialty and sustainably sourced coffee –especially among young people— May result in price increases reflecting increased costs associated with these products.
Climate change poses a significant long-term threat to coffee production, with some estimates suggesting that up to 50% of current coffee-growing areas may no longer be suitable for cultivation by 2050.
A brief history behind Joe’s Morning Bump
Legend has it that coffee was discovered centuries ago when an Ethiopian shepherd noticed that his goats became energetic after eating local coffee berries. These coffee beans were eventually introduced to the Arabian Peninsula, and by the 15th century, coffee was being grown in Yemen. The drink quickly spread through trade routes to Persia, Egypt and the Ottoman Empire, becoming a central part of social life.
By the 1500s, European travelers to the Near East brought back stories of this alluring black drink. By the 17th century, as coffee was introduced to Europe and became popular across the continent, some expressed skepticism or fear, calling it “Satan’s painful invention.”
Coffee’s journey into American culture began in the late 18th century. After the Boston Tea Party of 1773, coffee’s popularity soared as it became a patriotic alternative to British tea.
In the early 20th century, coffeehouses proliferated and became centers of social interaction and intellectual exchange. By the end of the 20th century, specialty coffee chains such as Starbucks expanded rapidly, introducing a café culture that emphasized the quality coffee experience rather than just caffeine. The rise of specialty coffee shops in the early 21st century further solidified coffee’s place in American culture.
bottom line
The price of coffee is likely to continue to rise due to climate change, supply disruptions, increased demand and changes in laws and regulations related to the supply chain.